Thursday, April 12, 2012

EURUSD - trading recommendation. Technical analysis (H4)


EURUSD - H4 chart

The rate is still in the consolidation phase. As it's reached important resistance zone (1.3135 - 1.3155) coming hours will determine the further movement direction. The bullish mood looks pretty strong now, so breaking above the resistance (1.3155) is very likely. After that it should move to 1.3195 and 1.3235 later. If it fails, the triple top formation will be confirmed. It will force the rate to strong decline towards 1.3055.

EURUSD - H4 chart


Trade recommendation

Buy after closing above 1.3155
Target levels:
T1: 1.3195
T2: 1.3235
Sell after closing below 1.3095
Target levels:
T1: 1.3055
T2: -

Current resistance levels
  • 1.3155
  • 1.3195
  • 1.3235
Current support levels
  • 1.3095
  • 1.3055
  • 1.3025

Monday, April 9, 2012

GOLD - trading recommendation. Technical analysis (Weekly, Daily, H4)


GOLD - Weekly chart

Gold arrived at 1630 support level. Long term uptrend line and major support at 1600 are also very close. Upward bounce in the comming weeks looks very likely.

GOLD - Weekly chart

GOLD - Daily chart

The rate is moving in the downtrend channel. After hitting support at 1619 it bounced up and stopped at 1645.


GOLD - Daily chart

GOLD - H4 chart

After strong decline last week the rate bounced up. It was stopped on the short term downtrend line and consolidated in the 1636.85 - 1645.00 zone. If it break the resistance at 1645.00 and the downtrend line it should start its movement up to 1660.00 level. 
Another scenario will take place if the rate breaks the support at 1636.85 and short term uptrend line. Then we could expect decline to 1630 and 1617.75 further.

GOLD H4 chart - suggested scenarios
GOLD - H4 chart

Trade recommendation

Buy after closing above 1645.00
Target levels:
T1: 1654.00
T2: 1660.00
Sell after closing below 1636.85
Target levels:
T1: 1630.00
T2: 1617.75

Current support levels
  • 1636.85
  • 1630.00
  • 1617.75
Current resistance levels
  • 1645.00
  • 1654.00
  • 1660.00

Thursday, April 5, 2012

EURUSD - trading recommendation. Technical analysis (Daily, H4)

EURUSD - Daily chart

Strong decline within last three days has brought the rate to 1.3025 - 1.3055 support zone. Combined with oversold sentiment it can lead to upward correction. 

EURUSD - Daily chart

EURUSD - H4 chart

EURUSD was stopped at 1.3055 line. If it remains over this level  we can expect consolidation in 1.3055 - 1.3085 zone. Breaking over this consolidation will give the green light to 1.3135 line. 


EURUSD - H4 chart

Trade recommendation

Buy after closing above 1.3085
Target levels: T1: 1.3135 T2: -
Sell after closing below -
Target levels: T1: - T2: -

Current support levels
  • 1.3055
  • 1.3025
  • 1.3000
Current resistance levels
  • 1.3085
  • 1.3135
  • -

Wednesday, April 4, 2012

GBPUSD - trading recommendation. Technical analysis (H4)

GBPUSD - H4 chart

The rate hit the support level at 1.5865 and the minor uptrend line. It seems that the most probable scenario for upcoming hours is breaking over 1.5900 and upward movement towards 1.5950.
But if the rate closes below 1.5865, open short trade with 1.5830 and 1.5805 as targets.

GBPUSD - H4 chart

Trade recommendation:


Buy after closing above 1.5900

Take profit level:
Target : 1.5950


Sell after closing below 1.5865
Take profit level:
Target 1 : 1.5830
Target 2 : 1.5805

Monday, April 2, 2012

AUDUSD - trading recommendation. Technical analysis (Weekly, Daily, H4)

AUDUSD - Weekly chart

Last week the rate crossed down the support line at 1.0350, as well as the short-term uptrend line. This week opening made a big rising gap, but from that time the rate was gradually falling. The nearest support is around 1.0350. Breaking it down will open the way for further decline.


AUDUSD - Weekly chart

AUDUSD - Daily chart

Since the end of February the AUDUSD has been moving in the downward trend. It stoped in the support zone around 1.0350, and touched the higher order upward trend line. Large decline since the beginning of this week has almost close the formed gap. Further movement toward support at 1.0345 seems to be most likely. Breaking this support and the nearby uptrend line will give the signal for further decline.


AUDUSD - Daily chart
AUDUSD - H4 chart
The rate moves in a downward channel. After reaching the 1.0335 support it bounced up and was stopped at 1.0445 resistance line. If the AUDUSD breaks down the short-term uptrend line (plotted during the upward correction) it will move towards 1.0335. Breaking this support would open the way towards 1.0275 and then to 1.0210. There some upward rebound is very possilbe.
If the rate turned to be so weak that it remains above 1.0335 some consolidation within the downward channel should be expected.


AUDUSD - H4 chart



Trade recommendation:


Sell after closing below 1.0335
Take profit level:
Target 1 : 1.0275
Target 2 : 1.0210






Sunday, April 1, 2012

EURUSD - trading recommendation. Technical analysis (Weekly, Daily, H4)

EURUSD - Weekly chart

In the last 3 weeks the rate was growing up after a strong decline last month. It reached the downtrend line and was blocked at the level of 1.3345, which corresponds to the middle of a large bearish candle formed few weeks ago. Further upward movement is now blocked by the downtrend line and resistance at 1.3450. The nearest support is at the uptrend line and level of 1.3115.

EURUSD - Weekly chart

EURUSD - Daily chart

The rate maintained its course between the broken downtrend line (dashed line) and the newly plotted trend line (solid line).
It did not manage to brake over the current consolidation. Last candle was bullish, but a long upper shadow and lack of  breaking above the consolidation is not inviting for opening the long trades. Furthermore stronger upward movement is also blocked by the higher time-frame downtrend line and strong resistance around 1.3450 (weekly chart). The closest resistance is at 1.3355 and support at 1.3275.



EURUSD - Daily chart

EURUSD - H4 chart

The rate is consolidated in the range of 1.3275 - 1.3360.
Recently, a few candles with long upper and lower shadows have been formed. Rate bounced down from the upper consolidation limit, but stronger decrease was stopped at the moment.

If the rate will break the downtrend line it should fall to 1.3275. It is the closest support. Breaking it down will give the signal to the fall  to the level of 1.3245 and further to 1.3215. In the 1.3175-1.3215 zone we should expect some upward correction - here comes the support zone and the uptrend trend line of the higher time frame. In the upcoming week I expect breaking down and movement towards 1.3215 level.

Alternatively, if the rate remains bullish enough to break over the 1.3385 you should consider buying with the 1.3425 as the target.



Trade recommendation:


Sell after closing below 1.3275
Take profit level:
Target : 1.3215


Buy after closing above 1.3385
Take profit level:
Target : 1.3425