Sunday, January 22, 2012

EURUSD - trading recommendation


EURUSD rebounded from support at 1.2650. The rising mood should be sustained in the coming weeks.

EURUSD  - Weekly chart

Breaking  the downtrend line and 1.2890 resistance opened the way toward 1.3085. However, if  the rate drops again below 1.2890 we should expect a consolidation in the range of 1.2650 - 1.2890.

EURUSD  - Daily chart

After reaching the 1.2975-2995 resistance area EURUSD drops sharply stopping at the 1.2885-1.2905 support zone. Then it moved upward and stopped at 1.2950. Breaking up this level should open the way towards 1.2995 and 1.3075 further.
But if the rate breaks down the uptrend line and support of 1.2885 I would expect a further fall till 1.2835 and then 1.2800.

EURUSD  - H4 chart

Trade recommendation:
Buy after closing above 1.2950 
Take profit levels:
Target 1: 1.2995
Target 2: 1.3075


Sell after closing below 1.2885
Take profit levels:
Target 1: 1.2835
Target 2: 1.2800

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

EURUSD - trading recommendation

EURUSD rate is currently in the weekly support zone. Arriving at this zone forced the rate to bounce up. I predict some further growing in the nearest future.
EURUSD Weekly chart
At the lower time frame we can see that the rate reached the resistance level at 1.28015. I expect breaking up. Closing above this zone shall open the way up to 1.28900 target level. If the rate remains below 1.28015 we should expect some downward movement towards 1.27200.

EURUSD  H4 chart

Trade recommendation:
Buy after closing above 1.28015


Target level: 1.28900


Sunday, January 8, 2012

USDJPY trading recommendation - updated


Since mid-July 2011 USDJPY is consolidating in the area of 75.50-78.25. After arriving near the upper boundary line and downtrend line it bounced down. The decline was stopped around 76.60 in the middle of a large bull candle formed on October 30th.
USDJPY - Weekly chart

After reaching the 76.60 support line USDJPY bounced up.  It reached 77.20 level which resulted in a downward correction.
USDJPY - Daily chart

The rate crossed over the downtrend line. Recent strong upward breakout should result in further growth. The nearest resistance is at 77.20. The support line is 76.85. If the exchange rate will remain above the new uptrend line and 76.85 support , I predict breakout above 77.20 resistance. Then a correction is possible, but the rate should not fall below 77.20. Target level for this movement is 77.60.
USDJPY - H4 chart


Trade recommendation:
Buy after closing above 77.20
Take profit level:
Target : 77.60

Thursday, January 5, 2012

AUDUSD is going to raise - technical analysis and trade recommendation

AUDUSD exchange rate crossed over downtrend line on December 30th. Then it reached the resistance level at 1.0365 and then bounced down. The downward movement was stopped at 1.0200 support level and now we should expect the upward rebound.

AUDUSD hit support level - daily chart

 At the 4-hour chart the lower shadow candle was formed. This suggest that the further faling potential is depleted. Recommended trade is buying after breaking the short-term downtrend line and closing above 1.0265 resistance. Target level is 1.0335. If the rate remains under 1.0265 we should expect consolidation in 1.0200-1.0265 zone.
AUDUSD downtrend line is going to be break  - H4 chart


Trade recommendation:
Buy after closing above 1.0265
Take profit level:
Target : 1.0335

USDJPY is going up 05.01.2012 - technical analysis and trade recommendation


Last week USDJPY bounced down after reaching the downtrend line. Downward movement was stopped in the area of 76.85. It corresponds to the middle of the big bullish candle formed on October 30. This area was support before, so it seems that now this level is a great place to react and move up.

Rate hit the major support - USDJPY weekly chart

Yesterday on the daily chart small bullish candle with long shadows was formed. It suggested that the downward movement dynamic was depleting.

After hitting the support bullish formation is formed - USDJPY daily chart


Today brought us a dynamic breakout from consolidation in 76.60 – 76.83 area. This currency rate crossed over the downtrend line which was forming since 28’th December . 
The rate has reached the 77.15 area.  I expect some correction now, but decrease should not be deeper than 76.95. Suggested transaction is a buying position after closing above 77.15 with the target of 77.50.

Crossing over downtrend line - USDJPY 4-hours chart


Trade recommendation:
Buy after closing above 77.15
Take profit level:
Target : 77.50

Tuesday, January 3, 2012

SILVER follows GOLD 03.01.2012 - technical analysis and trade recommendation

Silver rate moves in a downward trend in close correlation to gold rate. This is evident not only in the direction of the trend. Also the time of formation of individual valleys and peaks of this pair is closely correlated (marked with ellipses and the vertical lines in the image ). In the Forex market, such correlation can be observed frequently. In the attached charts (Comparative Analysis of Gold / Silver) you can see it clearly. In the previous analysis assuming growth I presented scenario of the expected gold rate movement . Upward movement become a reality, and as you can see the silver price in this case retains the full correlation.

Comparative Analysis of Gold / Silver charts

Analyzing the current situation, I assume that in the near future silver will remain under the influence of growth sentiment. In the chart below I present a suggested scenario. 

Silver rate - analysis and trade recommendation chart

The rate hit the level of 29.75. Now the growth should slow down a little. Downward correction is also possible, but the rate should remain over 28.75. I expect another growth soon. This movement should rise to 30.00. There we can expect some resistance, however, it should be broken, opening the way for further growth. The target for this movement is the level of 31.00.

Trade recommendation:
Buy after closing above 30.00
Take profit levels:
Target 1: 31.00